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Progreso Peñarol betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

For this match, the best bet is for Peñarol to win in the first half. After an excellent season, Peñarol arrive with great confidence and strength, while Progreso are going through a difficult phase and are coming off a very poor campaign. Despite playing away from home, Peñarol have a more qualified squad and are looking to start the Apertura on the right foot. The expectation is that, with their technical superiority, Peñarol will win the game against Progreso in the first leg.
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Preview
Progreso and Peñarol meet at Parque Palermo, in a match for the 1st round of the Primera División. In 5 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 4 and tied 1. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 27‑11‑2024, and ended in a (1‑5) win by Peñarol. Progreso registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Progreso

This is the first match in this edition of the competition for the home team, that ended the previous edition of the lower division in the 16th position and got the promotion. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 draws and 10 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a away draw against Belgrano by (0‑0). Progreso has won 2, tied 4 and lost 4 of the last 10 home matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 8 of the last 18 have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 3 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 3 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Progreso are coming off a very poor campaign in the 2024 Clausura. At the bottom of the table, the team knows that it will have to raise its level on the pitch if it wants to compete for something bigger in the Apertura this time around. They'll be playing at home in this round, but if they want to score, they'll have to put in a faultless performance against the mighty Peñarol, who are coming off the back of an undisputed title.

Confirmed Lineup: Bruno Suárez Pereyra, Anthony Joel Poiso Follentti, Luis Maldonado, Facundo Silvera, Mario García Fernández, Gonzalo Jorge Alberto Silva, Pablo Nicolás Fernández Sosa, Adrian Colombino, Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales, Nicólas González.
Coach: C. Canobbio Bentaberry.

Analysis Peñarol

The away team makes its debut in this edition of the competition, after having finished 1st last season. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 4 conceded. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got an away loss against Nacional by (3‑1). In the last 10 away matches Peñarol has won 7 and lost 3. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 12 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 9 of those 12 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 10 of them.

Confidence is at an all-time high after an undisputed title. Peñarol are coming off the back of a great season in 2024 and will be hoping to repeat that feat on the pitch this time around. Knowing the importance of getting off to a positive start in the Apertura, it is crucial that they focus on a great performance in this away match against Progreso. Without making any mistakes, they have a great chance of coming away with a win.

Confirmed Lineup: Martín Campaña, Maximiliano Olivera, Damián Suárez, Javier Méndez, Léo Coelho, Leonardo Fernández, Washington Darias Lafuente, David Terans, Sergio Damián García Graña, Maximiliano Silvera Cabo, Jaime Báez.
Coach: J. Larriera Dibarboure.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Progreso vs Peñarol match, on 2 February 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy India, goes to: Peñarol wins at half time ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Progreso vs Peñarol on 2 February 2025 will be played at Montevideo, Estadio Centenario.

 

Primera División - 2025

  • 27% 32 / 120 Games

  • Home team wins 34.38%
  • Draws 37.5%
  • Away team wins 28.13%
  • Over 1.5 71.88%
  • Over 2.5 37.5%
  • Over 3.5 21.88%
  • Goals 76
  • Goals /match 2.38
  • Goals /match home 1.25
  • Goals /match away 1.13
  • Both teams score 62.5%
  • Goals after 80' 21.05%
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