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Excelsior Dordrecht betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This game has the potential to be the best of the 21st round of the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025, as it is a direct clash for second place, which secures the last spot for direct promotion to the Eredivisie next season. We will bet on Under 3.5 Goals, as this has been a winning market in only 4 of the 9 home games for Excelsior, but the average goals per match at Excelsior's stadium stands at 3.2, with this line being met in the last 4 games. On the other hand, 6 of Dordrecht's 10 away games have had fewer than 3.5 goals. Expecting a balanced game, as seen in the first-round encounter on 20-09-2024, when the match ended in a 2-2 draw at Dordrecht's stadium.
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Preview
Excelsior and Dordrecht face at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in a match for the 21th round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 20‑09‑2024, these teams have tied (2‑2). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins in the last 3 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 16‑07‑2022, in a match for the Club Friendlies, Excelsior won by (3‑2). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Excelsior

After 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 39 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against VVV‑Venlo by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have tied (0‑0) at home, against FC Volendam. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at their stadium, with 42 goals scored and 14 conceded. For the league, Excelsior won 22 points out of 27 possible points, after 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 9 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 20 matches for this competition, but have been able to turn the score around in 2.

Excelsior could reach the top of the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 standings in this round, but they will need to break their streak of three consecutive draws, which have kept them at 8 unbeaten matches, but with only 4 wins during this period. The team holds the best home record in the league, with 81% efficiency, having collected 22 points from 9 home games. There is a nearly perfect balance in the team, which is reflected in their position as the third-best attack (39 goals scored, averaging 1.9 goals per game) and second-best defense (20 goals conceded in total, with a better home record of just 8 goals conceded in 9 home matches, averaging 0.8 goals per game at home). Excelsior is also the third-highest finisher in the league, averaging 16.1 shots per match, while having the second-most clean sheets (8 shutouts). It is expected that coach Ruben den Uil will stick with the previous lineup, based on the 4-3-3 tactical formation, with a focus on Calvin Raatsie (the goalkeeper, who, in addition to being second in clean sheets, is also the third-least conceded keeper with only 16 goals allowed in 18 appearances).

Confirmed Lineup: Calvin Raatsie, Casper Widell, Ilias Bronkhorst, Arthur Zagre, Django Warmerdam, Lennard Hartjes, Cedric Hatenboer, Noah Naujoks, Lance Duijvestijn, Chadwick Zachary Booth, Derensili Sanches Fernandes.
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen.

Analysis Dordrecht

The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 36 points won, after 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Roda JC Kerkrade, by (0‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against FC Eindhoven, by (3‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded; against 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 22 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Dordrecht has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 3.

Dordrecht comes into this match with a 5-match unbeaten run, consisting of 3 wins and 2 draws, having won their last 2 away games. The club now has the opportunity to level points with the second-place team, Excelsior, thus increasing their chances of securing direct promotion to the Eredivisie. Coach Melvin Boel has no known injuries and is likely to field the same starting lineup as before, based on the 4-3-3 tactical formation, with a focus on midfielder Daniel van Vianen (the second-highest tackler in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025, averaging 3.5 tackles per game).

Confirmed Lineup: Liam Bossin, Sem Valk, Lorenzo Codutti, Jop van den Avert, John Hilton, Daniël van Vianen, Gabriele Parlanti, Jari Schuurman, Oluwakorede David Osundina, Devin Haen, Jaden Fernando Slory.
Coach: M. Boel.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Excelsior vs Dordrecht match, on 11 January 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy India, goes to: Under 3,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Excelsior vs Dordrecht on 11 January 2025 will be played at Rotterdam, Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 64% 245 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.27%
  • Draws 24.9%
  • Away team wins 31.84%
  • Over 1.5 79.18%
  • Over 2.5 59.18%
  • Over 3.5 37.96%
  • Goals 733
  • Goals /match 2.99
  • Goals /match home 1.65
  • Goals /match away 1.34
  • Both teams score 53.47%
  • Goals after 80' 18.28%
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