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Ajax II De Graafschap betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This clash will mark the meeting between the best home defense and the best attack in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025. Jong Ajax still have the second worst attack among the sides. Given this scenario, we're betting on Under 3.5 Goals in the game, an entry that has won Jong Ajax's 8 home games and 3 of De Graafschap's 8 away games.
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Preview
Ajax and De Graafschap face at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 18th round of the Eerste Divisie. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 3 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 5 head‑to‑heads. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, on 21‑08‑2023, for the Eerste Divisie, De Graafschap won by (1‑2). Kristian Hlynsson (79' ) scored for Ajax and David Flakus Bosilj (59' ) and Basar Önal (6' ) for De Graafschap. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 17th and 3rd of the league table, it’s also a match between the 17th best team in home matches and the 13th best in away matches.

Analysis Ajax

After 3 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses, the home team is in the 17th position, havinf won 15 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Excelsior by (2‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (3‑0) an away match against FC Volendam. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 9 points in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 16 conceded, against 6 points won at their stadium, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. In the last 8 home league matches Ajax has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 24 possible. In their home matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 5 of their last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 17 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Jong Ajax is a reserve team that plays in the Eerste Divisie just to give experience to young players who are being groomed to join the AFC Ajax first team squad for the Eredivisie and other elite competitions. Even so, it's shameful for the club to be in the position of second-worst home attack (5 goals scored in 8 appearances and an average of 0.6 goals scored per home game). On the other hand, at least Jong Ajax have the best defense among the home sides (6 goals conceded in total and an average of 0.7 goals conceded per game at home). Coach Frank Peereboom's line-ups are always a mystery, although they are always based on the 4-3-3 tactical formation. Polish right winger Jan Faberski will have to serve an automatic suspension for the accumulation of five yellow cards. Right-winger Kayden Wolff picked up an injury on the penultimate matchday and was already ruled out for the previous fixture. Lucas Jetten went off injured in the first few minutes of the last match and had to be replaced by Gerald Alders. England's Charlie Setford (the league's second-best goalkeeper with an average of 5.7 saves per appearance) and left winger Jaydon Banel (the third-highest finisher in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 with a rate of 3.6 shots per round) are expected to feature.

Confirmed Lineup: C. Setford, Nick Verschuren, Precious Joel Uche-Chukwu Ugwu, Dies Janse, Kristian Hlynsson, Gerald Alders, Sivert Mannsverk, Nassef Chourak, Christian Kjelder Rasmussen, David Kalokoh, Jaydon Amauri Banel.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

Analysis De Graafschap

The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 32 points won, after 9 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against FC Emmen, by (3‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against VVV‑Venlo, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 10 points in away matches and 22 at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 12 conceded at home, against 13 goals scored and 14 conceded in away matches. In the last 8 away league matches De Graafschap has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 24 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑1 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 2‑2 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

De Graafschap have the opportunity to get closer to the leaders and to do so they have the best attack in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 (40 goals scored in total and an average of 2.3 goals scored per matchday). The team is also the best shot-stopper (6.6 shots on goal per match). Coach Jan Vreman will have to tinker with his starting line-up, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical scheme, as defender Rowan Besselink will serve an automatic suspension for the accumulation of five yellow cards. Joran Hardeman is likely to replace him. Midfielder Stan Wevers, meanwhile, has not played since suffering an injury on matchday 3 on 23-08-2024. The highlight of De Graafschap's squad is Moroccan left winger Ibrahim El Kadiri (third best shot-stopper with an average of 1.4 shots on goal).

Confirmed Lineup: Joshua Smits, Levi Schoppema, Joran Hardeman, Rio Hillen, Jeffrey Fortes, Philip Brittijn, Donny Warmerdam, Anass Najah, Ibrahim El Kadiri, Ralf Seuntjens, Jesse van de Haar.
Coach: R. Robbemond.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Ajax vs De Graafschap match, on 10 December 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy India, goes to: Under 3,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Ajax vs De Graafschap on 10 December 2024 will be played at Amsterdam, Sportpark De Toekomst.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 54% 206 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 39.81%
  • Draws 26.7%
  • Away team wins 33.5%
  • Over 1.5 79.13%
  • Over 2.5 58.25%
  • Over 3.5 39.32%
  • Goals 617
  • Goals /match 3
  • Goals /match home 1.58
  • Goals /match away 1.42
  • Both teams score 54.85%
  • Goals after 80' 19.12%
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