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Analyzing home/away performance makes all the difference in betting

Analyzing home/away performance makes all the difference in betting
Many teams have very different achievements when playing at home or away.
by Academia   |   comments 0
Thursday, November 4 2021

Small details make all the difference in sports betting, therefore, making careful analysis, adopting standards, statistics, data, strategies and methods will give you greater security to get a positive result. Anyone who thinks that just “understanding” football is enough to win a bet is quite wrong, and that's why we're going to bring examples of how to analyze a team's campaign separately, as home and visitor, makes a big difference in result of a bet.

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Analyzing only the classification can be a big trap to choose which team to bet. Many teams have different uses when they play as home or away, with totally opposite posture, strategy and performance, and what we'll show here anyone can analyze, even if they're just starting out in betting.

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In the Premier League last season, Everton fought for places in European competitions in much of the competition, but in the end ended up out, by 4 points difference.
 
So think about this example: Everton will play at home this round, they are fighting for international spots, and their opponent is a lower team on the table. If you just looked at the classification before placing a bet, you might bet on the team that was led by the good coach Carlos Ancelotti.
 
So here is the team's performance data:
 
As home team, Everton made only the 15th best campaign in the Premier League 2020/2021, with 22 points earned. Away from home, the English team did a great job, being among the 4 teams that scored the most. In the end, they had 37 points, 15 more than he won inside their stadium.
 
Just looking at the odds in favor of a team, or analyzing the squad or classification, are very generic ways to point out who is the best team to bet on any confrontation. We follow the example of Everton:
 
The team faced the last place of the competition, Sheffield United, as home team, quoted for victory at 1.33. Absolute favorite, is it? The result was 2x1 for the visitors, who paid 9.00 for their victory that day.
 
It's obvious that the team could have some favoritism, even if they didn't do a good campaign at home, even for facing the last place in the league. But still, there are other ways to exploit profits in betting, and all paid very well to Sheffield, from Handicaps, Double Chances, or bets involving Over/Under. If well analyzed, it would be quite possible to find opportunities in the various markets available, as it was evident the difficulty that Everton presented throughout the competition playing at Goodison Park.
 
This is not to say that it would not be possible to trust Liverpool's blue team, because as we have shown in this article, playing outside their domains, the team had great performance. Two rounds prior to this defeat by Sheffield United, the team faced West Ham, a team that won 6th place and a place in the Europa League, but impressively got the 2nd best campaign playing at home, among all Premier League teams!
 
That wasn't a problem for Everton, and the team went there and won 1-0 in London, with a price of 3.40 for the victory.
 
This just shows how important it is to analyze everything from escalation to achievement (ranking), not only in general, but also in a specific way. In addition, those who like to work with the goal market, be aware of these issues, as many teams have totally different performances when they are at home or when they are in opponent fields, whether goals scored or conceded.

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